Sunday, November 12, 2006

Progressive Herding vs Conservative Guilting

The recent Democratic victory in the House and Senate underscores the reality of progessive politics. It is inherently weaker than conservative politics when there isn't a well established avoidable crisis easliy linked to conservsative leadership. The dramatic loss of relevance labor has had over the last few decades has excererbated this for the Democrats, but over time all political parties must evolve their base and change their rhetoric to stay current. The Republicans I think will have to do this now that "War of Terror" rhetoric seems to be loosing them votes as other more topical issues have more currency (inflation, job stability, retirement, ...).

This means progessive politics must tactically involve active participants from more that the Democratic Party. Two indepedent senators are being used to bump up the the Dems caucus from 49 to 51 to effect leadership change in the Senate. The nature of progressive politics is such that it must never consider itself as the mandate of any particular party, but the manifestation of the best behavior in any given party. This means painting politicians, not as progressives, but as shrewd and good Democrats, and shrewd and good Republicans when proggressive gains are attributed to them.

Conservative politics is much simplier. Those who are afraid to really speak up due to 'good manners', being shy, or not wanting to seem like they are not part of the majority can be guilted into voting for the GOP. As long as conservative leadership doesn't create stinking festing problems like the Iraq War they will probably always have an electorical advantage. In a sense it is hubris that is their downfall and that only comes from within their ranks. It can't be tactically deployed from outside their base.

Dems and progressives must be eternally vigilant for hubris themselves, but be especially vigilient for hubris and corruption in conservative leaders. In the end conservative values (no matter how silly) will trump progressive values if there isn't something conservative that smells bad nearby.

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